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Gold Looks Good in 2020
Forum Index » Derivatives (Equity, Currency, Commodities)
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PrachiRajput007 (IV06123201)



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Gold market could be one of the few commodities to survive an impending global economic slowdown in the next few years. Although analysts at Capital Economics have little hope for gold prices this year, as the yellow metal continues to fight against rising U.S. interest rates, the firm reiterated its long-term forecast as it sees prices pushing to $1,400 an ounce by the end of 2020.

The macro-economic forecasts are not painting a rosy picture for commodities in 2019. They expect softer growth in China, a slowdown in the US economy and minimal growth in emerging markets. Their prediction of a sharp fall in US equities next year could spur an exodus from risky assets, including commodities. The exception to this is gold, which could benefit from a move into safe havens.

The gold US economy in 2019 and 2020 will eventually force the Federal Reserve to reverse course on monetary policy, ending the current tightening cycle. This should give gold prices a further fillip as it will encourage more safe-haven demand and portfolio diversification.
The clarifications come as gold prices have seen improved momentum as equities suffer their worst monthly decline in years. While down from its recent three-month high, the yellow metal is still holding on to strong gains. December gold futures last traded at $1,232.60 an ounce, up 0.12% on the day.
They think that prices will continue to rise after 2019, underpinned by the deepening downturn in the U.S. economy in 2020 and looser U.S. monetary policy. Their prediction is for gold prices to reach $1,400 per ounce by end-2020. So far this month, gold prices are up 3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down almost 6% and the S&P 500 is down more than 7%.

However, in the near-term Capital Economics said that it is expecting gold's new rally to fizzle out as the Federal Reserve's December monetary policy meeting quickly approaches.

Source: http://www.stockmaster.in/gold.html

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